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2024-12-13 04:47:57

The word "moderate easing" releases the economic signal next year. On December 9, an important meeting was held. The meeting analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, and mentioned that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. Since 2011, China has maintained a sound monetary policy tone for a long time. This time, the prefix of monetary policy has changed to "moderately loose", which means that economic policy will provide more liquidity next year. (Yuyuan Tan Tian)The monthly wholesale sales rate in the United States in October was -0.1%, and the previous value was revised from 0.30% to 0.5%. The monthly wholesale inventory rate in the United States in October was revised to 0.2%, expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.20%.The Houthi armed forces in Yemen claimed to carry out military operations in Ashdod, Israel and hit the target. On December 9, local time, the Houthi armed forces in Yemen issued a statement saying that they successfully launched a military operation in Ashdod, Israel, and successfully hit the target.


Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the regulation of the Internet and artificial intelligence must strike a balance between stimulating progress and personal data security.More than 40 schools in the Indian capital were threatened by bombs, and nearly 1,000 bombs were threatened in air india and the airport. Police in the Indian capital, New Delhi, said on the 9th that at least 40 schools in the city received bomb threats by e-mail. However, after a preliminary investigation, the police found no suspicious items on campus. In addition, the data show that from the beginning of this year to mid-November, Indian airlines and airports were threatened by nearly a thousand bombs, and 12 people were arrested. (CCTV Finance)


Ministry of Finance: Leaders of international economic organizations are full of confidence in China's economic transformation and future. The Ministry of Finance held a briefing today (9th). Relevant leaders of the Ministry of Finance introduced the main situation of the "1+10" dialogue and answered questions from reporters. Liao Min, Vice Minister of Finance, said that the heads of international economic organizations are full of confidence in China's economic transformation and future, and expressed their willingness to strengthen cooperation with China to jointly safeguard the process of multilateralism and economic globalization. Liao Min introduced that the dialogue highlighted three key words: commitment, support and cooperation. Ten heads of international economic organizations participated in the dialogue, focusing on the theme of "building consensus on development and promoting global common prosperity", focusing on "seizing the opportunity of change, promoting the transformation and growth of the world economy", "upholding multilateralism, promoting the reform of the global economic governance system" and "China further comprehensively deepening reforms and opening up broad prospects for modernization" Liao Min said: "First, he reiterated his firm commitment to economic globalization and multilateralism; Second, it shows strong support for global economic growth and common development; Third, it has promoted the coordination and cooperation of international economic organizations. China is taking pragmatic and effective measures to intensify countercyclical adjustment, intensify the implementation of macro policies, and do everything possible to boost consumption; Further deepen reform in an all-round way, expand high-level opening to the outside world, and bring greater opportunities for world development. This is the greatest certainty of China's economy to the world economy. " Liao Min said that economic growth in all countries faces common and different challenges. Leaders of international economic organizations attending the meeting highly praised China's great progress in poverty reduction and development and its historic contribution to the world, affirmed and supported China's recent package of incremental policies, and hoped that China would continue to be a "stabilizer" and "power source" for global economic growth. Liao Min said: "We have stepped up counter-cyclical adjustment and taken pragmatic and effective measures to promote sustained economic recovery. The delegates affirmed China's positive progress in supporting economic growth and promoting structural adjustment. China is transforming from an investment-driven growth model to a consumption-and innovation-driven growth model. The successful transformation of China's economy will benefit the global economy. " Liao Min said that the contribution rate of China's economy to world economic growth has remained at around 30% for more than 10 years, and it is an important engine of global development. The underlying logic of China's economic upturn and the principle of benefiting the world have not changed, and it will continue to inject more certainty and predictability into the world economy with its own stable development. (CCTV News)Minister Wang Wentao met with WTO Director-General Ivira. On December 9, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao met with WTO Director-General Ivira in Beijing. The two sides had an in-depth exchange of views on WTO reform and deepening cooperation between China and the WTO. Wang Wentao said that the reform of the WTO is of great significance in coping with common global challenges, and China is willing to make joint efforts with all parties to promote positive progress in the reform. China supports the WTO to achieve more results in the field of development and calls for the normal operation of the dispute settlement mechanism. China supports the early incorporation of the investment facilitation agreement into the WTO legal framework, the conclusion of the second-stage agreement on fishery subsidies, the conclusion of the negotiations on the joint statement on e-commerce, and the promotion of multilateral trade rules to keep pace with the times. (Ministry of Commerce)Ministry of Civil Affairs: The Chinese Stomatological Association was ordered to strictly review the membership qualifications of registered members. Recently, the reporter exposed the chaos of dental medical institutions and the management of members of the Chinese Stomatological Association. Today, the Social Organization Administration of the Ministry of Civil Affairs issued a statement. After verification, the recent media report that the Chinese Stomatological Association failed to effectively review the membership of ordinary members and specialist members is true. The Social Organization Administration of the Ministry of Civil Affairs ordered the Society to strictly review the membership qualifications of registered members, and to explain and rectify the relevant situation. In the next step, the Social Organization Administration Bureau of the Ministry of Civil Affairs will urge the Chinese Stomatological Association to consciously accept social supervision and rectify the existing problems in place. (CCTV News)

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